42% of Americans will be obese by 2030, according to a study sponsored by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
The report, entitled “Obesity and Severe Obesity Forecasts Through 2030” that was conducted by CDC in conjunction with Duke University, also projected that 11% of people in the United States will be “severely obese” for that year.
It is considered that a person is severely obese when you have more than 100 pounds overweight or a body mass index (BMI, for its acronym in English) of 40 or more.
The new projections suggest that obesity among U.S. adults could be leveling off, as previous studies had projected that 51% of Americans would be obese by 2030.
The researchers analyzed data from a telephone survey of the CDC and the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the United States in which respondents reported their weight and height.
While the study found no significant differences in terms of an increased incidence in the prevalence of obesity among minorities.
They said the new projections take into account demographic trends such as increasing the Latino population in the community is a growing problem.
“We can not say that in our model minorities, both African Americans and Hispanics, who were predicted increased risk of obesity or severe obesity,” he said at a press conference Eric A. Finkelstein, Deputy Program Director of Health Services and Systems Research Duke-NUS, who participated in the study.
“Although according to previous research these groups are more likely to see greater increases than non-Hispanic whites,” he added.
A previous study by the CDC found that the prevalence of obesity among Hispanics in the 50 states ranged from 21 to 36.7%, while among whites the rate was between 9 and 30.2%.
With increasing levels of obesity will also fire the cost of treating it, a figure that according to the study could exceed 500 billion over the coming decades if not controlled.
“If these forecasts are correct, the negative health consequences and costs of obesity are likely to continue to increase without significant intervention,” said Justin Trogdon, another author of the study.
Currently, the cost of treating obesity amounts to 147 billion dollars a year, representing 9 percent of total annual medical costs in America.
The study was presented today at the conference as part of CDC’s “Weight of the Nation” in Washington, DC.
Further research is published in the latest edition of “American Journal of Preventive Medicine.”